Let’s start with the headlines: MUCH less snow this winter than last winter. In fact, I expect less snow than our long-term average of 19.3 inches.
It will be a warmer winter than last year, but not what I would call a really warm winter. There will be periods when very cold air will move in. A couple of days could see temperatures in the single digits for lows.
There is likely to be some snow before Christmas, but not a big snowstorm. The snowiest and coldest month should be February. I don’t expect ANY big snowstorms with amounts of 10 inches-plus, and we may not even have an 8-inch storm.
The pattern sets up for icing threats at least a couple of times. A significant ice storm is possible for at least part of the area.
Here are the numbers:
| Forecast | "Normal" | Last Winter | |
| Total snow | 12-18" | 19.3" | 78.7" |
| Dec. snow | 4" | 2.1" | 24.1" |
| Jan. snow | 3" | 7.5" | 3.1" |
| Feb. snow | 7" | 6.6" | 51.5" |
| March snow | 1" | 3.3" | Trace |
| Dec. Temps | plus 1 | 37.4 F | minus 1.0 (from normal) |
| Jan. temps | plus 3 | 32.3 | plus 0.9 |
| Feb. temps | minus 1 | 34.8 | minus 3.0 |
| March temps | minus 1 | 43.2 | plus 5.1 |
